Results

At G Ratings, we conducted a statewide public opinion survey to measure electoral preferences and the political climate ahead of the 2026 Arizona Governor Primary Election.

We surveyed adults aged 18 and older residing in Arizona who confirmed that they were registered to vote and intended to participate in the upcoming election.

In this study, we present the latest findings on political affiliation, Republican and Democratic primary preferences, the main issues facing Arizona, and the demographic profile of respondents.

The results show Katie Hobbs leading the Democratic primary with 84.1%, while Andy Biggs leads the Republican primary with 73.7%.

Political Affiliation of Respondents

At G Ratings, we measured the political affiliation of survey participants. The results show a highly competitive political environment, with Republican respondents slightly ahead of Democratic respondents and a smaller independent or other segment.

  1. Republican affiliation: 45.8%
  2. Democratic affiliation: 44.4%
  3. Independent or other affiliation: 10.0%

This distribution provides context for understanding voter preferences and the broader political environment in Arizona ahead of the 2026 gubernatorial election.

Republican Primary for Governor

If the 2026 Republican primary election for Governor of Arizona were held today, respondents expressed the following voting preferences:

  1. Andy Biggs: 73.7%
  2. David Schweikert: 14.3%
  3. Other: 4.5%
  4. Scott Neely: 3.5%
  5. Ken Miceli: 2.6%
  6. Undecided: 1.0%

The results show Andy Biggs with a strong lead among Republican primary voters. His position places him well ahead of the rest of the listed field, while David Schweikert appears as the closest challenger.

Democratic Primary for Governor

In the Democratic primary, Katie Hobbs holds a dominant lead among respondents.

  1. Katie Hobbs: 84.1%
  2. Other: 10.8%
  3. Undecided: 5.5%

These results suggest a consolidated Democratic primary environment, with Katie Hobbs receiving broad support among Democratic respondents and a relatively small share of voters still undecided.

Main Issues Facing Arizona

We surveyed respondents about what they consider the most important issue facing Arizona today. The results show that the economy is the leading concern among voters.

  1. Economy, jobs, inflation, and taxes: 32.1%
  2. Something else: 17.0%
  3. Healthcare: 13.4%
  4. Immigration: 10.8%
  5. State of democracy: 10.3%
  6. Education: 7.2%
  7. Crime: 4.5%
  8. Foreign policy: 2.5%
  9. Abortion access: 2.3%

The findings suggest that economic pressure, healthcare, immigration, and concerns over democratic stability are shaping voter priorities as Arizona moves closer to the 2026 gubernatorial election.

Demographic Profile of the Survey

The survey included a demographic profile across gender, age, and ethnicity.

By gender, respondents were distributed as follows:

  1. Male: 57.2%
  2. Female: 42.8%

By age group, respondents were distributed as follows:

  1. 18–29 years: 10.2%
  2. 30–39 years: 25.8%
  3. 40–49 years: 31.2%
  4. 50–59 years: 14.3%
  5. 60–69 years: 15.5%
  6. 70 years or older: 2.5%

By ethnicity, the survey recorded the following composition:

  1. White or Caucasian: 63.1%
  2. Hispanic or Latino: 25.8%
  3. Black or African American: 5.5%
  4. Asian: 3.0%
  5. Other or multiple races: 2.3%

Methodology

At G Ratings, we conducted this survey among 750 complete questionnaires from adults aged 18 and older residing in Arizona.

Fieldwork was conducted between July 14 and July 19, 2026. During this period, participants confirmed that they were registered to vote and intended to participate in the upcoming election.

The study used a non-probability sample design, balanced by relevant demographic and geographic variables, including gender, age group, region, education level, and ethnicity.

This process employed Odysseus, a technological platform developed by G Ratings by GobernArte S.C., incorporating algorithmic models designed to ensure a distribution consistent with reference population parameters.

Data collection was conducted through self-administered digital questionnaires accessible on mobile devices and computers. The survey was administered in English.

For a sample size of 750 questionnaires, the theoretical margin of error is estimated between ±3.5% and ±5%, assuming a 95% confidence level and simple random sampling. Because this study uses a non-probability design, the margin of error should be interpreted as an approximate statistical reference rather than an exact estimate of total study error.

The completion rate was approximately 50%, based on eligible individuals who initiated the digital questionnaire.

G Ratings compared the party registration composition of respondents in the sample against statewide voter registration figures published by the Arizona Secretary of State.

G Ratings adhered to current United States legislation regarding the protection, privacy, and confidentiality of personal data. All information provided by participants was treated anonymously and used exclusively for statistical research and public opinion analysis.

This survey was commissioned, conducted, funded, and analyzed by G Ratings, a company incorporated in the state of Florida, USA, solely for informational purposes and was neither commissioned nor funded by any candidate, political campaign, or political party.

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