Results

‹ ›

At G Ratings, we conducted a statewide public opinion survey in Florida to measure the political climate ahead of the 2026 primary election for Governor.

We surveyed adults aged 18 and older residing in Florida who confirmed that they were registered to vote and intended to participate in the upcoming election.

In this study, we present the main findings on political affiliation, Democratic and Republican primary preferences, key public concerns, and the demographic profile of respondents.

The results show Byron Donalds leading the Republican primary with 47.2%, while David Jolly leads the Democratic field with 24.3%, followed by a high level of uncertainty among Democratic respondents.

Political Affiliation of Respondents

The survey measured the political affiliation of participants in Florida. The results show a competitive political environment, with Democratic respondents slightly ahead of Republican respondents and a significant independent or other segment.

1. Democratic affiliation: 43.2%
2. Republican affiliation: 36.2%
3. Independent or other affiliation: 20.6%

This distribution provides context for understanding voter preferences and the broader political environment in Florida ahead of the 2026 gubernatorial election.

Democratic Primary for Governor

At G Ratings, we asked respondents who they would vote for if the Democratic primary for Governor of Florida were held today. The results show David Jolly leading among the named candidates, while the largest response category is Other or None.

1. Other or None: 25.5%
2. David Jolly: 24.3%
3. Undecided: 19.7%
4. Jerry Demings: 17.5%
5. Kevin Cichowski: 5.1%
6. Dayna Marie Foster: 4.8%
7. Evelyn Castillo-Bach: 3.1%

These results suggest that the Democratic primary remains open, with a large share of respondents either undecided or not aligning with any of the listed candidates.

Republican Primary for Governor

In the Republican primary, the survey shows a clear lead for Byron Donalds, who records the highest level of support among listed Republican candidates.

1. Byron Donalds: 47.2%
2. Undecided: 18.3%
3. James Fishback: 16.3%
4. Other or None: 7.3%
5. Jay Collins: 6.5%
6. Paul Renner: 2.6%
7. Bobby Williams: 1.8%

Byron Donalds holds a strong advantage in the Republican primary, while undecided voters remain a relevant factor in the race.

Main Issues Facing Florida

We surveyed respondents on what they believe is the most important issue facing Florida today. The results show that the economy is the leading concern among voters.

1. Economy, jobs, inflation, and taxes: 37.6%
2. Something else: 18.0%
3. Immigration: 11.8%
4. State of democracy: 11.1%
5. Healthcare: 9.1%
6. Crime: 4.5%
7. Education: 4.3%
8. Foreign policy: 2.3%
9. Abortion access: 1.3%

The findings indicate that economic pressure, cost of living, jobs, inflation, and taxes are shaping the concerns of Florida voters as the 2026 gubernatorial race begins to take form.

Demographic Profile of the Survey

The survey included a demographic profile across gender, age, and ethnicity.

By gender, respondents were distributed as follows:

1. Female: 52.5%
2. Male: 47.5%

By age group, the results were:

1. 18–29 years: 11.7%
2. 30–39 years: 13.2%
3. 40–49 years: 16.2%
4. 50–59 years: 17.7%
5. 60–69 years: 26.3%
6. 70 years or older: 14.9%

By ethnicity, the survey recorded the following composition:

1. White or Caucasian: 67.5%
2. Hispanic or Latino: 17.1%
3. Asian: 10.9%
4. Other or multiple races: 3.2%
5. Black or African American: 1.3%

Methodology

At G Ratings, we conducted this survey among 825 complete questionnaires from adults aged 18 and older residing in Florida.

Fieldwork was carried out between June 12 and June 17. During this period, participants confirmed that they were registered to vote and intended to participate in the upcoming election.

The study used a non-probability sample design, balanced by relevant demographic and geographic variables, including gender, age group, region, education level, and ethnicity.

This process employed Odysseus, a technological platform developed by G Ratings by GobernArte S.C., which incorporates algorithmic models to ensure a distribution consistent with reference population parameters.

Data collection was conducted through self-administered digital questionnaires accessible on mobile devices and computers. The survey was administered in English.

For a sample size of 825 questionnaires, the theoretical margin of error is estimated between ±3.5% and ±5%, assuming a 95% confidence level and simple random sampling. Since this study uses a non-probability design, the margin of error should be interpreted as an approximate statistical reference rather than an exact estimate of total study error.

The estimated refusal rate was approximately 50%, based on eligible individuals who received the invitation but did not complete the survey.

G Ratings adhered to current United States legislation regarding the protection, privacy, and confidentiality of personal data. All information provided by participants was treated anonymously and used exclusively for statistical research and public opinion analysis.

This survey was commissioned, conducted, funded, and analyzed by G Ratings, a company incorporated in the state of Florida, USA, solely for informational purposes, having been neither commissioned nor funded by any pre-candidate, candidate, political campaign, or political party.